This year’s CES show was underwhelming. And that happens in the tech world every now and then. This year, phone are smaller, faster and have longer lasing batteries. Computers and laptops, are a little less expensive. Tablets are basically the same as last years. So what’s new?
Flat screen TVs …
Plasma TVs still have the best display, but are expensive. OLED are great as well. But LCD TVs still have a better cost to display quality ratio. The Quantum LCD TVs are new this year, and look great. But the problem with TV sets are … at some point how much better is better.
Most of the TV manufactures are looking at very low margins as people just don’t replace a TV as fast as a computer or phone. Low replacement rates mean lower inventory turns. And that is a problem. People still stood in line for the iPhone 6. Ever heard of people standing in line for the newest TV?
Also let’s face it, the renew ratio from a tablet to a phone is very different. While consumer are happy to renew – at great expenses – their phone every year as a new wave of shiny phone arrive on he shops packed of new gadgets, the tablet haven’t moved much like I wrote on my blog post What The Year Of The Goat Has In Store For Software Development.
2015 may be a year where technologies are enhanced, but no bit breakthroughs are expected. That’s not to say there won’t be news. It’s just that software and apps may be the big winners as hardware seems to be in an optimizing mood.
While it’s easy to say that modern computers are an extension of eight bit computers, that would not be quite right. Hard drives and writable CDs changed computers in a dramatic way. The internet extended the communications options that has been the fundamental advancement of the last 15 years. Smart phones and tablets have, again, redefined the tech market.
But what does 2015 seem to offer?
Wearable devices, integrated TV (like Apple TV) and the internet of things, are all promises that have not yet born fruit. No doubt they will, just not yet. There are no signs that 2015 will see any of these technologies “pop.” This may simply be a year of technologies just getting a little better, but no breakthroughs.
Likely this year will have surprises, but if I told you what they are … I’d ruin the surprise.